Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.523944 3.745460 3.979883 4.247493 4.545839 4.869758 5.250123
2025-10-05 3.159102 3.470235 3.818280 4.240636 4.745141 5.336223 6.093210
2025-10-12 2.974647 3.342436 3.770149 4.312815 4.995996 5.846719 7.019574
2025-10-19 2.834618 3.241201 3.728617 4.369632 5.212806 6.319906 7.952794
2025-10-26 2.703261 3.133901 3.662837 4.379182 5.356872 6.701317 8.810398
2025-11-02 2.562255 3.001647 3.551445 4.313299 5.384211 6.913924 9.443899
2025-11-09 2.425868 2.865253 3.423162 4.210581 5.344399 7.016342 9.911187
2025-11-16 2.322128 2.764095 3.333179 4.150739 5.356122 7.191317 10.523547
2025-11-23 2.261637 2.715252 3.308472 4.177891 5.494945 7.576827 11.582430
2025-11-30 2.202421 2.664336 3.276840 4.190896 5.610598 7.935782 12.672018
2025-12-07 2.102989 2.554688 3.158244 4.068064 5.501269 7.897014 12.945216
2025-12-14 2.022947 2.468052 3.067522 3.980722 5.440786 7.935286 13.390355
2025-12-21 1.959606 2.403428 3.007020 3.938568 5.456029 8.121921 14.243771
2025-12-28 1.912177 2.359024 2.973364 3.935512 5.536549 8.442137 15.520512
2026-01-04 1.888031 2.345658 2.983109 3.999496 5.736075 9.020665 17.678958
2026-01-11 1.861578 2.327622 2.984623 4.049703 5.915377 9.588408 20.085238
2026-01-18 1.825521 2.294304 2.961601 4.058135 6.019037 10.013512 22.287500
2026-01-25 1.774216 2.237222 2.900436 3.999931 5.993117 10.147549 23.579322
2026-02-01 1.717389 2.170426 2.822120 3.909049 5.898005 10.110373 24.236094
2026-02-08 1.673186 2.120688 2.767970 3.856025 5.871627 10.231826 25.601513
2026-02-15 1.650473 2.101540 2.759718 3.880091 5.997326 10.740785 28.973506
2026-02-22 1.625903 2.078789 2.744843 3.891613 6.098726 11.209073 32.623169
2026-03-01 1.574147 2.014432 2.663074 3.782677 5.946283 10.993226 32.573185